Have you watch the match between Qatar vs Ecuador last night?
Its 2-0 for Ecuador. So many of my friends are betting on the match that Qatar might snatch a win due to history and possible bookie's affair *wink .
With this 4 years once affair in the world of soccer, match betting is just as lively as well.
Who will win the golden boot?
Who will be the champion this time round?
Will we see new emerging soccer stars born?
Whenever I take a read on Singaporepools betting platform, I tend to not just read the bets pricing but also the possibilities and probabilities of winning my bets. The way I calculate my winning probabilities for example
Between WIN - DRAW - LOSE , the probability of a certain team win lose or draw are 33.33% each. Therefore , if the winning return is less than 133.33% of my bet , it is not an equal return. This is because I am placing my 100% bet to lose between the one out of three choice I got to make.
What about the match handicap bets where weaker team will get an additional handicap before match starts ?
In my opinion , the probability of my bets winning here are 50% each. Therefore , my winning percentage has to be 200% of my bet to make it worth.
Can you win those statistic gurus behind the scene?
Of course not . With any bets made , I still stand to lose all my bets if my guess is wrong. Just like many of my friends who bet on Qatar to steal a win last night , their bets were gone with the wind.
Wait. You are a financial advisor , why are you discussing about bets?
Investing has similarities towards betting in terms of using probabilities to calculate your chance of winning. The main difference between investment and gamble is investment can make use of logical maths to calculate the possibilities of lose vs wins whereas gamble is purely emotion.
In any investment I suggest myself or my clients to follow , the rule of thumb must always be the winning probability higher than losing probability to make sense to enter the market.
For example , will a big giant like Apple or Microsoft one day fold and make you lose everything you invest ? Never say never. However, the possibilities of such companies folding vs a small tech startup is relatively small or lower.
So if you were to invest in a group of companies inside a sector or countries and with a good spread of companies , will such sector or even countries fold and make you lose everything you invest ? The answer is still never say never but for let's say America economy to crash to zero vs the probability of a Giant company to crash and fold is significantly lower already.
If you manage to read till this stage , read on
I have a solution to achieve higher rate of returns with probable lower risk in losing your capital . Such idea is not uncommon in the market but I can share with you how to execute it your advantage. Let's connect and private massage me for a chat.
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